The Turn: Pot odds for Fourth Street

• 30.06.2025 1:24 pm
• headhunter
• 0 Comments

The players who literally rely on Hold'em odds and also outs they have memorized compared to knowing the origin of numbers focus on playing solely on “on the flop” odds.

It goes without saying that these are the most significant of all odds, (the flop in Hold'em is perceived as the most significant street) but playing sound play is all about making the best decisions with regard to all streets.

For the group of players who choose to memorize all flop numbers they commonly cut in half their flop numbers for the turn. This gives you a gist of the exact spot to commence from, but it is not the best of solutions.

Pot odds

These can be quite tricky. Almost each player is in the know that any flush draw that's flopped is roughly 2-1 to heat, and this means they require odds that are better than 2-1 if they are to play effectively the hand.

I in most cases witness different players committing the mistake of applying the same equation with regard to the turn. Let us look into a particular scenario:

You happen to be in a game of $2/$5 and in your stack a $500 on the button then you possess A¨K¨. A $25 standard raise is made middle position. After it gets folded to you, you decide to call: the blinds then muck the hands they have and this leads you to the flop heads-up.

Pot: $57

The flop then comes - you have succeeded in flopping your nut-flush draw. Different players tend to ignore the odd dead monies the moment they calculate the size of the pot, and this means the rival ignores all blinds, perceives the pot as simply $50 and ends up betting the same amount.

Pot: $107

You are required to call $50- what you get is scarcely above 2-1 on the cash you've got. On any straight pot odds, you are breaking more even in this situation, but incase you end up hitting during the turn, and you feel placing more bets is wise, and additionally, you might be better if you happen to hit an ace. Call.

Turn: [ ] []

The pot is with no doubt getting larger. You've got inside your stack $425, and this makes the pot in question above a third of the stack you've got. It is turning to a pot sizable enough, because there are two untouched streets.

Your rival has a notion you may be drawing or maybe you possess a set and you are trapping. If you happen to be drawing, they won't let you do it free, and they resolve to betting $100.

Pot: $257

From what you have gathered playing with this rival, it's now clear to you they possess an AA or maybe KK, but because you do not know the exact one, all you can rely on is hitting the flush. It's only calling $100 that can make you see a river. So what next?

Amateur players in this situation call instantly. The bet is obviously lesser compared to the pot, and if you happen to hit the nut draw they have, the pot becomes big and attractive for them

What you are getting is simply 2.57-1 on your cash, better odds compared to what you received on flop. Since it was a simple on the flop call, it should be the same on the turn.

In real sense, you have a 20% chance of bagging the pot (with the assumption that you are against AA). You are a 4-1 dog, getting on your cash a 2.5-1.

Your pot odds in this case are awful. Your rival would be required to place a bet of close to $50 if you are to get any profit calling here.

This is interesting

When I was fresh in poker, the drawing odds concept on the flop is one that played tricks on my brain. I always wondered “How it is possible to call with +2-1 odds on flop when you perfectly know they are going to bet the turn once more?”

The moment you look into it carefully, you are in real sense seeing a single cad prior to encountering any other bet. You flush hitting odds are approximately 20%. I concluded that it was more sensible requiring 4-1 odds if you are to call.

These brainwaves I had as a beginner are logical- realistically, the card you see is simply one. The main reason it is safe calling while you get odds better than 2-1 on flop is hinged to a couple of factors.

Implied odds have to be considered, live-pair draws and setups. Most significantly, you need to consider the frequency the bet on flop is either a semi-bluff, bluff or maybe c-bet.

In most of these scenarios, what you can see is a river that has no bet on the turn and this gives you freedom to draw a total of two cards for the call. Additionally, you will be far ahead of the bluffs.

The logic behind this form of reasoning is that, what happens in streets coming later on is unknown to you and with the information available, you have to act appropriately in your current situation.

Playing a profitable game on hopes and assumptions is impossible.